Expert Political Judgment, Philip Tetlock

Excellent book; important topic. I am drawn strongly to both relativist (at least in the sense of intractability) and neo-positivist camps, which makes it a fun battle. A lot of the middle sections of the book were fairly technical, on methodology of polling people and aggregating probability estimates. I found this quite hard to follow in audio format, so it may well be worth reading this book as opposed to listening to it.

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